Monday, February 24, 2020

You may not be interested in the virus but the virus is interested in you

"You may not be interested in the virus but the virus is interested in you" - Steve Bannon.  It has been over six years, since I posted anything on my blog. I have done a few things towards self-sufficiency meanwhile but did not post anything. 

I have been following the events unfolding in Wuhan, China closely for slightly over a month. The building of 1000 bed hospital in less than a week got my Spidey senses tingling.  

Many thoughts crossed my mind like:
  • How infectious is this disease?
  • How fatal is this diseases?
  • Is it man-made or zoonotic?

Then again I never believed in Chinese Communist Party numbers. Now we are seeing some real numbers coming out of Italy, South Korea and Cruise Ships.

Italy maybe 5000 miles from here but all it takes is one infected person to start a cluster anywhere in the world. The temperature checks are meaningless as a person can be asymptomatic from anywhere between 14 days to 42 days.  The word "quarantine" originates from the Venetian dialect form of the Italian quaranta giorni, meaning "forty days". This is due to the 40-day isolation of ships and people before entering the city-state of Ragusa (modern Dubrovnik in Croatia). So lets do a full quarantine.

Many are saying this as a black swan event just like the collapse of many institutions back in 2009 but this is more like the Chickens have come home to roost. There is built-in risk on the way uber globalized economy is built.  We really have to rethink, the way run our economy and make it more local end to end. Can't have components made all over the world at the cheapest price point and ignore the risk. This is risk I saw more than a decade ago and started this blog.